Serial interval distribution
Serial interval
Vaccination effect parameters
Efficacy first dose preventing transmission
Delay until protection after first dose
Efficacy first and second dose preventing transmission
Delay until protection after second dose
Efficacy first, second, and booster dose preventing transmission
Delay until protection after booster dose
Relative hospitalisation risk by any immunity (vaccination and/or infection)
Within hospital (care-path) parameters
Length of stay, general ward
Proportion GW admitted to ICU
Length of stay, ICU
Proportion ICU admitted to SD
Length of stay, step-down unit
Exponential smoothing (ETS) model
ETS model parameters
Serial interval distribution
Resulting ward stay